Tuesday, September 11, 2007

War-gaming In The Dark.

I recently read a piece on Atlantic.com by Joshua Hammer titled "After Musharraf" that spoke of The Center for Strategic International Studies, a "Bi-partisan think tank" formulating strategies to deal with different scenarios in the event of the military regime in Pakistan becoming destabilised.
I found it amusing to say the least when I found such prodigious personalities as Zbigniew Brzezinski, Henry A. Kissinger and none other than ex-deputy secretary of state Richard Armitage who had been accused in September 2006 by Musharraf of "Threatening to bomb his country back to the stone age".

Even if we somehow manage to stomach the "Bi-partisan" nature of this think tank, the conclusions that they arrive at are simply preposterous to say the least. Musharraf who has recently gone through a number of crises including a rebellious supreme court and a disgruntled population calling for elections and his removal from power, is in no position to start a war within his own borders. What all these "experts" on Pakistan failed to mention is that Musharraf hangs on to power by a thread, and thus any incident that would call for him turning the military lose on his own people would be the last straw. Less than 2 months ago the Pakistani military regieme was seriously considering declaring a state of emergency in order to maintain control and to somehow short-circuit the elections that have been promised in 2007. less than 2 weeks ago 200 pakistani soldiers belonging to the Frontier Corps were "Abducted" by the same tribesmen that the "experts" are claiming will be confronted by Musharrafs military government. The complete lack of touch with reality is sadly apparent, afterall these are some of the same people who have brought the U.S to this stage, when the only real way to export democracy is to support military dictatorships.

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